Investors' eyes on the Central Bank's interest rate decision: Will there be an interest rate cut in September?
In September, markets will be watching the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. While investors are eagerly awaiting the CBRT 's next move regarding interest rate cuts, they are also keeping their investors in safe havens. So, what will the Central Bank's interest rate decision be for September? Will there be a rate cut?
CENTRAL BANK MEETING CALENDAR FOR SEPTEMBER
The Board, which will convene for the seventh time this year, will announce its critical interest rate decision on Thursday, September 11, 2025. At its last meeting, the Board lowered the one-week repo auction rate, the policy rate, by 300 basis points to 43%.WHAT ARE THE INTEREST RATE EXPECTATIONS?
Economists emphasize that the interest rate decision to be announced in September is critical for both market participants and individual investors. The possibility of a rate cut could directly impact deposit and loan rates, as well as trigger sharp movements in the stock market and foreign exchange market. Furthermore, a potential decision to leave rates unchanged or raise them will also shape investors' portfolio choices.The most common scenario in the markets is that the Central Bank will take cautious action, taking into account inflation data. While some analysts argue that a September interest rate cut is difficult due to the current inflation trend, others suggest a gradual rate cut may be on the table to support economic growth.
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DATA WILL ALSO BE ANNOUNCED
The Central Bank will release its balance of payments data for July on September 12. Türkiye's current account had a deficit of $2.06 billion in June, while its current account, excluding gold and energy, had a surplus of $2.57 billion.
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