Inflation expected to rise in the US

The annual US inflation rate is expected to accelerate for the second consecutive month, reaching 2.7 percent in June 2025. This is the highest level since February, up from 2.4 percent in May. Month-on-month, the CPI is expected to rise 0.3 percent, the largest increase in five months and an increase from 0.1 percent in May. This increase is likely to occur as higher import costs from newly imposed tariffs, particularly affecting categories such as furniture, toys, recreational items, and automobiles, begin to be passed on to businesses, as well as as a recovery in gasoline prices. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise to 3 percent in June after three consecutive months of 2.8 percent, the lowest annual rate since 2021. The monthly core CPI is also expected to rise 0.3 percent from 0.1 percent in May, the sharpest increase in five months.
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