Gen. Łukowski: The war won't end in six months

I don't think there's a risk of a conflict breaking out in Europe in the short term, but it's high in the long term, said the outgoing head of the National Security Bureau, General Dariusz Łukowski, in an interview with "Rzeczpospolita."

"Today, the Russians are engaged in a war in Ukraine. It won't end in a month or six months. I don't believe it. Until peace talks are held and the Russians stabilize their structures, I don't see them posing a threat of full-scale aggression. They themselves are having huge problems with army recruitment and modernization, despite their rapidly expanding industrial and military potential," General Łukowski told Rzeczpospolita journalists in an interview published on Tuesday.

When asked about the possible withdrawal of some American forces from Poland, the military official pointed out that the Americans are currently conducting a review of their forces. The general assumes it will conclude in early fall, with decisions made by the end of September. "Therefore, all information on this topic today is speculation," he concluded.

In Łukowski's opinion, the "most explosive" point near the Polish border is the Suwałki Gap. "It is difficult to defend. It lacks operational depth, which is why it poses a challenge to the alliance in terms of ensuring security. It is difficult to deploy significant land forces there because there is too little space to operate large tactical formations," he explained in "Rz." He also pointed to the "Brest direction, from the Smolensk Gate," from which, he added, wars have been fought for centuries, and the so-called Przemyśl Gate from the Ukrainian side. (PAP)

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